Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dillon * | 38 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Hartley * | 31 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Heber * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Lutz * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| M. White * | 19 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Green | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Ware | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Carroll | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Riddell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. McBride * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| B. Randle * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Frazier | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Arnold | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| W. Carter | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Brock | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Hicks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter