Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +6 (65-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Delk | 35 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Gordon | 34 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 34 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 32 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Slater | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Delk | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Morgan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Steele | 39 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 27 | - |
| J. Davidson | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 29 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Felix | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Brock | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Gee | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter