Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (24.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +33 (94-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Rose * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Peppers * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| A. Williams * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Payne * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Johnson | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Gill | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Noel | 13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Taylor | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Speraw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Carney * | 27 | 8-14 | 5-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| C. Douglas-Roberts * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Dorsey * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| S. Williams * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Washington Jr. * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| A. Anderson | 25 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. Allen | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| R. Dozier | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| W. Williams | 16 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Long | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Njoya | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. McGrady | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sandridge | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Wade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter