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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% -
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% -
Margin 62.5% 37.5% -2.8 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: Brown Bears -17 (58-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Goffredo 33 9-12 8-10 4-7 4 1 2 0 2 30 23 -
D. Housman 32 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 9 0 0 1 6 14 -
M. Beal 31 2-6 1-1 4-4 6 2 3 0 3 9 11 -
M. Stehle 31 6-8 0-1 5-5 4 3 1 2 3 17 16 -
B. Cusworth 27 4-7 0-1 1-1 7 0 1 2 5 9 7 -
K. Yada 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
B. Darcy 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Z. Martin 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -4 -
E. Harris 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
B. Unger 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Groszyk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Pusar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lambert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jeppesen 33 6-12 2-5 4-5 3 1 2 2 6 18 8 -
M. Becker 31 3-5 0-2 1-4 1 4 3 0 1 7 9 -
S. Friske 28 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Huffman 28 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 7 6 -
M. MacDonald 25 5-10 4-6 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 16 11 -
M. McAndrew 22 2-5 0-3 1-1 2 2 2 0 0 5 6 -
C. Skrelja 20 0-4 0-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 1 0 -
P.J. Flaherty 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter