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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.7% 40.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Padgett * 34 3-8 0-0 6-7 5 1 0 2 2 12 10 -
T. Laudermill * 33 3-8 0-3 1-2 7 2 1 0 1 7 8 -
T. Dean * 27 5-13 3-7 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 13 5 -
J. Palacios * 25 4-10 1-3 1-2 3 3 0 0 3 10 3 -
Arinn Mcgee * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Williams 18 4-8 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 12 7 -
B. Gianiny 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
C. Millard 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
B. Harvey 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Farley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Douby * 38 6-16 2-7 5-6 7 2 1 0 3 19 10 -
M. Webb * 36 2-8 0-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
A. Farmer * 34 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 8 0 1 2 6 14 -
J.R. Inman * 34 4-8 2-3 3-3 5 0 0 5 3 13 12 -
B. Joynes * 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
O. Bailey 17 4-5 0-0 4-6 2 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
J. Griffin 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 5 -
A. Hill 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Inglis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter