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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +2 (57-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Couisnard 36 5-7 1-2 6-6 7 2 0 2 5 17 16 -
K. Wilson 33 2-12 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 5 -7 -
S. Ogirri 29 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 -4 -
M. Braeuer 25 4-6 2-3 2-2 5 2 3 0 2 12 14 -
K. Bradley 21 4-6 0-2 2-4 4 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
R. Martin 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
P. Miller 17 3-7 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
W. Preadom 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
N. Rogers 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dotzler 38 1-6 1-2 0-0 1 4 2 1 3 3 2 -
A. Tolliver 30 8-14 1-2 3-4 5 2 0 1 4 20 10 -
J. Mathies 30 1-9 0-5 4-4 5 5 0 0 1 6 6 -
D. Watts 23 2-5 0-3 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
N. Porter 21 1-3 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 4 8 -
J. Motz 16 1-7 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
B. Nengsu 12 3-4 3-4 1-3 4 0 1 0 0 10 11 -
J. Day 11 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
D. Bishop 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
P. Hibma 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter