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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Washington Eagles Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -
Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Stuckey 36 14-21 3-7 5-8 4 3 3 0 5 36 20 -
M. Penoncello 30 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 6 8 -
R. Humphrey 25 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
P. Butorac 25 2-4 0-1 1-1 7 2 0 2 4 5 8 -
D. Risper 24 2-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
D. Smith 23 4-9 1-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 11 6 -
K. Williams 21 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
J. Beitinger 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
N. Zumwalt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strait 35 9-17 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 2 19 9 -
K. Criswell 35 4-12 2-6 5-10 7 2 1 0 1 15 12 -
J. Hasquet 31 2-5 0-1 4-6 1 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
V. Matthews 30 6-9 1-2 5-6 5 10 2 0 2 18 24 -
B. Ellis 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 2 -
S. Mayes 17 5-7 1-2 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
M. Dlouhy 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
M. Chavez 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Martin 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
K. Sharp 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter