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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 41.6% 58.4% +1.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 77.1% 22.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% -
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Martin 39 7-15 5-8 5-7 9 1 0 1 1 24 19 -
C. Stewart 32 0-5 0-3 2-2 1 8 0 0 2 2 4 -
D. Hoskins 32 3-7 1-1 3-4 4 4 0 1 2 10 10 -
L. Harris 27 10-12 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 23 15 -
D. Diarra 21 3-4 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 1 1 7 10 -
A. Wright 16 1-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Allen 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
S. Afeli 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
M. Taybron 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Hughes 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 -
S. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall 34 4-9 2-4 2-4 5 7 1 0 2 12 14 -
R. Roby 31 7-12 1-4 3-4 3 3 1 0 0 18 13 -
C. Copeland 30 6-12 3-6 2-2 7 3 0 4 1 17 18 -
M. Freeman 24 3-9 1-4 5-7 7 4 2 0 2 12 14 -
D. Coleman 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 5 1 -
M. King-Stockton 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 2 0 3 8 -
A. Osborn 15 1-5 1-5 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
J. Ashby 11 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
J. Obazuaye 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
L. Arrington 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Eddy 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter