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2006-01-28

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.8 โœ— (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.7% 51.3% - โœ—

Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (84-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Reichner 36 6-10 4-6 7-7 5 5 4 0 2 23 25 -
J. Balderson 35 8-12 1-2 7-8 4 2 2 0 2 24 18 -
T. Plaisted 30 7-15 0-0 1-2 7 3 3 1 0 15 14 -
F. Malaman 26 4-5 1-1 1-1 3 1 3 1 1 10 12 -
R. Broadus 22 2-5 2-3 0-2 0 2 1 0 3 6 1 -
A. Ainge 21 1-5 0-2 3-4 1 6 2 1 2 5 8 -
K. Young 21 1-5 0-0 1-4 2 0 2 0 3 3 -1 -
L. Cummard 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 0 -1 -
D. Dawes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lewis 34 6-13 1-3 3-5 2 8 3 0 3 16 13 -
J. Smith 31 8-11 1-1 6-8 9 4 0 4 8 23 21 -
S. Gilling 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 11 6 -
M. Harrison 26 3-3 0-0 3-3 4 1 0 3 3 9 11 -
Micheal Morris 24 1-4 0-1 2-4 7 4 3 1 2 4 13 -
S. Creason 23 3-3 0-0 8-11 4 1 0 0 3 14 13 -
A. Patterson 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Freddy Robinson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
S. Morris 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 0 -
C. Harris 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -

* = starter