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2006-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lang 38 7-12 5-10 2-2 4 3 1 0 3 21 14 -
L. Pattman 34 5-11 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 12 0 -
C. Flynn 34 1-6 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Hammick 32 1-5 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Ball 30 4-7 0-1 3-5 5 4 1 0 1 11 13 -
D. Mosley 24 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
A. Barnett 21 4-5 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 10 8 -
B. McMillan 10 2-2 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
P. Bode 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Giovacchini 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Meyer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Biber 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Powers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jeppesen 49 9-12 1-1 6-13 4 3 6 0 3 25 23 -
M. Becker 44 1-5 0-1 3-4 3 1 2 0 1 5 5 -
S. Friske 43 4-6 0-0 4-6 5 4 0 0 4 12 11 -
D. Huffman 40 3-5 2-4 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 10 7 -
L. Ruscoe 33 2-4 1-3 2-4 3 5 2 0 3 7 10 -
M. MacDonald 22 3-6 0-2 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
M. McAndrew 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
C. Skrelja 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
P.J. Flaherty 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter