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2006-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 14.2% 85.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.3% 70.7% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 35 2-10 1-3 4-7 3 4 1 0 4 9 3 -
B. Cusworth 34 5-15 2-3 4-8 9 1 0 5 2 16 14 -
J. Goffredo 32 6-15 3-9 6-7 1 0 3 0 1 21 9 -
M. Stehle 31 6-9 1-2 0-2 9 0 4 1 5 13 13 -
M. Beal 28 2-7 0-1 2-3 11 2 0 0 2 6 10 -
Z. Martin 13 1-1 1-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
K. Yada 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
B. Unger 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Darcy 4 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
E. Harris 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Holmes 27 4-6 3-3 2-5 6 6 0 3 4 13 18 -
S. Kaplan 25 6-8 0-0 4-10 2 2 1 0 2 16 11 -
E. Flato 23 3-7 2-4 4-4 1 2 2 0 3 12 7 -
N. Holmes 22 4-4 3-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 11 11 -
C. Hughes 20 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
M. Kyle 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
D. Martin 19 5-10 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 2 1 10 8 -
C. Andrews 16 0-2 0-1 10-12 2 3 1 0 1 10 13 -
R. Morin 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
T. Pinick 10 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
J. Greenberg 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Abromaitis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter