Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +9 (59-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kelly | 37 | 5-14 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Newson | 36 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. Tolliver | 23 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. Lewis | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Z. Knight | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Woodfork | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Austin | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Jones | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Thompson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Flatt | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 40 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| R. Gulina | 32 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| T. Peterson | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Merritt | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. West | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Nurkic | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Black | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter