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2006-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 โœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +20 (73-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jefferson 0 2-6 2-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
M. Dwyer 0 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Haynes 0 1-7 0-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
L. Shimek 0 7-14 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 0 14 10 -
L. Bowen 0 1-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Gearlds 0 9-19 5-9 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 23 9 -
L. Wisdomhylton 0 5-8 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 0 11 13 -
A. Traore 0 7-13 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 17 7 -
S. Webb 0 3-3 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
E. Lawless 0 1-7 0-2 4-4 0 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -

* = starter