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2006-01-26

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 58.6% 41.4% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% -
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -7 (49-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Mbah a Moute * 34 6-10 0-1 3-5 10 2 1 0 2 15 16 -
J. Farmar * 32 4-10 1-5 5-9 4 4 3 0 5 14 10 -
M. Roll * 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
R. Hollins * 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 4 0 5 10 -
A. Aboya * 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Afflalo 31 3-10 1-6 5-5 5 0 0 0 3 12 4 -
C. Bozeman 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
D. Collison 17 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 -1 -
R. Wright 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks * 38 3-10 2-7 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 8 1 -
M. Hairston * 31 3-8 0-2 0-2 5 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
B. Lincoln * 26 4-10 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 10 2 -
J. Kent * 21 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
A. Zahn * 20 3-7 0-0 0-1 3 0 2 0 1 6 3 -
M. Leunen 21 1-8 0-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
B. Taylor 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
I. Johnson 17 2-7 0-0 6-8 3 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
C. Oguchi 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter