Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Porter | 38 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 32 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -1 | - |
| S. Williams | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Bates | 27 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Soto | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Schille | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Misko | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Cobbs | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marentez | 38 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 34 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| V. Oliver | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Carter | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Boone | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter