Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nelson | 37 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 21 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Ingram | 35 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| T. Knauber | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Ford | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Davis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Lawrence | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Fisher | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Hosley | 36 | 9-15 | 4-5 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| K. Bell | 35 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Coleman | 33 | 3-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| H. Hernandez | 32 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. O'Neil | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| D. Morris | 22 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. Cesar | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Riding | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter