Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +25 (71-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.