Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -3 (79-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fazekas | 36 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 32 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| M. Charlo | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Bell | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Sessions | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Kemp | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Johnson | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Burleson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Ikovlev | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lane | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Karl | 31 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 14 | - |
| T. Banks | 30 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 26 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| K. Lloyd | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Robinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter