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2006-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% -
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 74.4% 25.6% -
Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Log Adjusted 76.3% 23.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hachad 42 8-11 4-5 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 20 15 -
C. Moore 42 3-5 2-4 2-2 4 5 0 0 3 10 11 -
V. Vukusic 41 12-19 4-10 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 29 12 -
T. Doyle 36 4-8 1-2 1-4 5 4 2 0 1 10 12 -
S. Williams 30 1-4 0-2 4-5 0 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
M. Jenkins 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Carson 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Seacat 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dillon 45 8-10 2-2 0-0 5 7 2 0 4 18 18 -
C. Lutz 45 4-8 4-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 12 7 -
C. Hartley 44 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 8 5 -
M. White 43 6-10 0-0 6-10 5 3 1 0 5 18 12 -
S. Heber 38 4-11 1-2 9-12 15 2 2 0 3 18 23 -
G. Ware 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Green 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter