Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✗ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -2 (50-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 38 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. McCraw | 37 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 36 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Frye | 31 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 29 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Anderson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Maren | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Henke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Amundson | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| W. Adams | 34 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Terry | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Petrimoulx | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 25 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| W. White | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Morgan | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Umeh | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter