Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +27 (75-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Moore | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| T. Schnitker | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Wise | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Arnold | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| E. Gray | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Evans | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Booe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Onyeuku | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Plank | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Vandello | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Holtz | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Wallace | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Ford | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| L. Dyer | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| E. Vianney | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Kruse | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Fortes | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter