Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| M. Lee | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Diggs | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Carson | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| P. Williams | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hawkins | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Relph | 18 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| P. Lottin | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Dunston | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Fox | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Benson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plummer | 27 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| W. Williams | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Roberts | 22 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. White | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Binnie | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Bennett | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Little | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Adedeji | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Scott | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Penno | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Stafford | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Cripe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Brady | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter