Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dudley * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| C. Smith * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Hinnant * | 34 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| S. Marshall * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Oates * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. McLain | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Rice | 22 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| S. Williams | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 27 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| W. Miller * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Terry * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Green | 20 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Sanders | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter