Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Chiotti | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Walters | 34 | 9-21 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| K. Prochaska | 30 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Danridge | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Collins | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Harden | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Kersten | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Faris | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Hart | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Toppert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Walter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Slaughter | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| N. LeSure | 34 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Abukar | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Williams | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Sharper | 28 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Spain | 27 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| B. Hudson | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Camara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter