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2006-01-24

Model Predictions

Model St. Francis (PA) Red Flash Robert Morris Colonials Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“

Actual: Robert Morris Colonials +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Farha 37 4-9 3-8 2-2 2 5 0 0 4 13 7 -
G. Surprenant 33 6-14 5-9 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 17 10 -
T.J. Lundy 32 5-9 0-0 0-2 9 1 1 2 0 10 14 -
S. Profeta 29 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 0 2 0 3 -
R. Benton 28 5-11 3-6 4-4 5 2 0 0 1 17 12 -
M. Ford 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 3 2 -
J. Lawrence 18 3-4 0-1 1-6 5 0 0 0 4 7 4 -

Robert Morris Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Jackson 40 8-15 1-2 4-4 10 1 2 1 4 21 16 -
Derek Coleman 40 4-7 4-5 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 12 14 -
J. Chappell 38 5-9 1-5 2-3 5 4 3 1 0 13 17 -
C. Boston 31 6-12 2-4 2-3 5 2 0 0 2 16 9 -
S. Lancaster 22 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 5 5 -
T. Lee 20 3-6 0-1 2-2 4 4 2 0 1 8 11 -
C. Senat 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter