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2006-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -
Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +20 (71-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hite * 39 3-13 2-8 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 10 0 -
G. Diaz * 34 2-14 1-9 5-5 4 0 0 0 2 10 -2 -
A. Harris * 33 5-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 13 6 -
A. King * 29 4-7 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 1 0 8 7 -
G. Hamilton * 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 2 9 -
D. Clemente 15 2-9 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 0 -
R. Hicks 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Graham 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Asbury 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary * 37 11-17 3-8 4-4 0 4 2 1 1 29 18 -
A. Joseph * 35 4-9 2-6 1-2 6 2 1 1 0 11 12 -
J. Cain * 25 1-2 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 0 2 2 6 -
J.R. Reynolds * 21 4-9 0-2 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 12 8 -
T. Soroye * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
L. Mikalauskas 28 5-6 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 0 2 12 12 -
T. Bannister 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 2 4 -
M. Diane 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter