Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rondo * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Crawford * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 9-11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| B. Perry * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Morris * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| R. Moss | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Thomas | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Bradley | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Sims | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Robertson * | 40 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. LeMelle * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| R. Barrett * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Barber * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Cameron * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Dollard | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Hayles | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter