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2006-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 88.6% 11.4% -
Bradley-Terry 99.1% 0.9% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -63.2 (54.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.5% 13.5% -
Log Adjusted 86.6% 13.4% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -9 (75-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.P. Batista * 38 7-12 0-0 6-8 13 4 0 0 2 20 23 -
A. Morrison * 37 14-23 5-7 8-8 9 1 0 0 2 41 26 -
D. Raivio * 31 3-9 2-7 4-4 3 2 2 0 5 12 5 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 26 1-3 0-2 0-1 3 2 3 0 3 2 4 -
S. Mallon * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 4 7 -
D. Pendergraft 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
E. Knight 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Pargo 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 2 -3 -
L. Gurganious 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wiggins Jr. * 36 3-10 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 3 8 7 -
A. Surratt * 34 11-26 3-8 5-6 2 3 3 0 3 30 9 -
J. Gumbs * 33 5-12 0-5 1-1 4 2 1 1 0 11 7 -
D. Cavic * 25 4-8 3-6 0-1 4 2 2 0 2 11 9 -
J. Byrd * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
N. Pierce 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 1 1 2 12 -
D. Ingerson 18 2-9 0-5 2-2 0 2 0 1 0 6 0 -
D. Shiller 11 1-2 1-2 1-1 0 2 1 0 3 4 2 -
V. Polakovic 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter