Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +19 (65-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Terry | 31 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| D. Nelson | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Davis | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Xia | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Everhart | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Diasparra | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Thompson | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Brick | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| V. Valiulis | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hines | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. Johnson | 35 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| K. Oleksiak | 34 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Hickman | 31 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| D. McClenny | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Tooms | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Simmons | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Beckford | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Akinosho | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter