Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +21 (83-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sheets | 36 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| R. Turner | 35 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| E. Turner | 34 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| P. Tchekane Bofia | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| O. Ahvenniemi | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| F. Petkus | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Bruff | 17 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Hight | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Cavanaugh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Greene | 40 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| C. Pugh | 35 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Dinkins | 35 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| B. Hodges | 28 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| J. Zito | 27 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Housman | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| T. Young | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter