Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +12 (56-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dilligard | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Ford | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Vandello | 22 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Ford | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| N. Plank | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Fortes | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Dyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Shaw | 33 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| B. Mullins | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Young | 31 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 3 | - |
| R. Falker | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Tatum | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| T. Boyle | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Foster | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Brooks | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter