Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -1 (80-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Miller * | 31 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Terry * | 26 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Sanders | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Green | 14 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thornton * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| I. Swann * | 29 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Rich * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| C. Webb * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| A. Wilson | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Romero | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Allen | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Mims | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| U. Echefu | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter