Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cuyler | 34 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Young | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Vogelsberg | 31 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| T. Blue | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Howard | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Kanaskie | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Hudson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Dawson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dixon | 34 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Huffman | 33 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Ramsey | 31 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| S. Sharp | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| C. Jackson | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Brandon | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Martin | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Davis | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Damus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Phillips | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter