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2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 84.2% 15.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% -
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 34 5-15 3-10 4-5 4 6 1 0 6 17 7 -
A. Horford * 32 5-10 0-0 1-2 8 3 3 4 1 11 18 -
L. Humphrey * 28 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 3 4 -
J. Noah * 27 5-6 0-0 1-3 8 2 0 3 2 11 16 -
C. Brewer * 26 8-12 0-2 4-4 8 0 1 0 3 20 14 -
W. Hodge 20 2-3 1-2 0-1 1 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
C. Richard 12 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
D. Huertas 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
A. Moss 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton * 35 10-19 5-13 4-4 6 3 3 0 1 29 21 -
D. Bradshaw * 29 4-6 0-1 0-1 7 4 3 1 2 8 15 -
M. Wingate * 21 2-7 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 3 7 -1 -
S. Asumnu * 12 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -4 -
C.J. Watson 29 1-8 0-4 4-4 2 6 1 0 1 6 6 -
J. Smith 29 4-8 1-3 1-2 6 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
A. Patterson 28 6-12 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 1 2 12 13 -
J. Howell 11 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Childress 6 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter