Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | +7.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +11 (80-69). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Almond | 41 | 11-26 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 10 | - |
| Lorenzo Williams | 40 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J.R. Harrison | 39 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| P. Britton | 36 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| G. Killings | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Hagen | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Foster | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Packevicius | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Pflieger | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hopkins | 40 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 6-9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Bamba Fall | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Willingham | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Roberts | 32 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| B. Morris | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Pearson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Rackauskas | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Killen | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ike Ofoegbu | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Hopkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter