🐻⬇️🏀

@
2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% -
Bradley-Terry 87.5% 12.5% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -42.7 (54.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% -
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +12 (62-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 38 7-14 3-8 5-6 2 4 0 0 5 22 9 -
D. Wilson 35 2-5 0-3 2-3 4 3 1 0 3 6 6 -
B. Sullivan 22 3-6 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
K. Field 20 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 0 5 -
D. Cooper 19 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
M. Lewis 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Carter 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
A. Tiefenthaler 12 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Jones 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
J. Dominguez 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. McTear 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Surratt 39 7-19 1-8 1-3 7 7 1 0 4 16 8 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 31 6-14 0-0 3-6 9 0 0 0 1 15 9 -
J. Byrd 27 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
D. Cavic 27 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
J. Gumbs 23 4-7 1-2 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 11 11 -
D. Shiller 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
N. Pierce 16 2-7 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 0 6 9 -
D. Ingerson 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
V. Polakovic 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter