Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ball | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 29 | 6-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| M. Moss | 27 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| C. Durham | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Beye | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Edmonds | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Morris | 16 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Wilson | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Durr | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Golob | 34 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| J. Wilson | 31 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Bazy | 30 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Sir | 22 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Landry | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Seckold | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Hensley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter