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2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 47.0% 53.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.2% 90.8% -
Log Adjusted 9.2% 90.8% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +19 (91-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stewart 29 3-7 0-2 6-6 1 2 2 0 2 12 8 -
C. Brooks 28 2-7 0-2 3-3 1 3 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Calvin 25 4-8 0-0 3-3 5 1 1 0 1 11 9 -
N. Grant 22 2-10 0-1 3-4 1 2 1 0 0 7 1 -
C. Bryant 20 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 5 6 -
J. Cox 18 4-4 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 10 9 -
B. Heemskerk 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
S. Tracy 14 2-8 2-4 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
N. Works 12 5-8 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
J. Baryenbruch 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Emmenecker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Houston 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Morris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Little 38 4-5 3-4 3-5 1 3 4 0 0 14 17 -
B. Jacobson 36 6-11 2-4 5-6 4 3 1 0 4 19 12 -
B. McKowen 36 8-8 4-4 4-5 3 6 0 0 1 24 24 -
G. Stout 35 5-9 1-3 3-4 8 3 0 2 1 14 17 -
E. Coleman 28 3-4 0-0 4-4 5 4 0 0 2 10 13 -
J. Josten 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Brown 9 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
M. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Griffin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter