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2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville State Gamecocks Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 30.4% 69.6% +4.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -

Actual: Morehead State Eagles -9 (62-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Russell Jr. 32 2-8 0-4 5-6 1 10 3 0 4 9 11 -
C. Bradley 28 9-11 2-2 3-4 8 0 2 1 1 23 22 -
A. Wilson 26 2-6 2-3 0-0 4 3 2 1 4 6 6 -
B.J. Spencer 24 6-9 4-7 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 17 14 -
D. Brown 23 3-7 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 3 0 9 12 -
B. Peters 19 3-5 3-5 2-2 0 0 2 0 0 11 8 -
H. Crow 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Lumpkin 12 2-4 1-2 0-2 4 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
D. Bray 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -
N. Smith 4 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
T. Lewis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Ketterer 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pryor 33 7-11 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 16 10 -
R. Allen 30 4-9 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 8 3 -
S. Januska 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
S. Williams 22 3-8 0-0 5-8 6 1 1 0 2 11 9 -
Q. McDowell 21 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 5 0 -
T. Cockerham 19 0-3 0-3 6-6 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Ballard 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
C. Burns 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 2 5 -
T. Rogers 12 1-1 0-0 6-11 3 1 2 1 1 8 13 -
C. Reisz 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -

* = starter