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2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 25.9% 74.1% -
Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +15 (79-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Evans * 37 5-16 1-8 10-11 2 2 1 0 6 21 4 -
K. Young * 32 1-5 0-0 1-2 13 1 0 3 2 3 13 -
M. Brown * 31 3-5 0-1 5-6 2 3 1 0 3 11 9 -
J. McKinney * 29 4-6 1-1 4-5 3 3 0 0 1 13 12 -
G. Dandridge * 20 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
J. Horton 28 3-4 2-3 0-2 4 3 2 0 2 8 11 -
K. Grimes 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Lyons 7 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
M. Lawrence 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Watkins 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Diarra * 33 4-11 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 0 1 8 12 -
D. Hoskins * 30 6-12 0-0 6-10 4 2 2 0 3 18 11 -
C. Stewart * 27 1-3 0-1 3-4 4 6 0 0 0 5 12 -
C. Martin * 25 7-12 0-3 6-7 8 1 1 1 2 20 17 -
A. Wright * 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 4 5 -
L. Harris 22 4-11 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 8 -1 -
M. Taybron 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 6 4 -
C. Allen 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
T. Hughes 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
S. Thomas 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter