Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +1 (45-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Crow | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| C. Wallace | 31 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. McDade | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Price | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Wheatley | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Ramsdell | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Reese | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Mitchell | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. James | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Hanson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 36 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Rose | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams | 31 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Peppers | 30 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Payne | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Johnson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A. Gill | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Noel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Taylor | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter