Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✓ (27.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +28 (75-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Hines | 35 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| K. Davis | 31 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| L. Brown | 23 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Barnett | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Watson | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| H. Edwards | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Sturns | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Q. Williams | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| H. Stewart | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Simpson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Howerton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Wells | 36 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| J. Jones | 33 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Tipler | 33 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Y. Banks | 31 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Ardison | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| L. Hampton | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter