Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✓ (27.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +28 (75-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.