Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +10 (62-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wetrich | 39 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Y. Nicholson | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Carpenter | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Porch | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Seger | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Walker | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Kummer | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Cox | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Gordon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Malone | 37 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Jones-Jennings | 35 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Z. Wright | 35 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 21 | - |
| D. Eggins | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Muldrow | 26 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Harding | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Nichols | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Razz | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter