Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Mitchell | 37 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Hayles | 37 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Claborn | 34 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| J. Bosh | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Richmond | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Lott Jr. | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Blake | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Jones | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Oliver | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Warren | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thompson | 34 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A. Frazier | 33 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Jackson | 32 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 8-14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Douglass | 29 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Wyatt | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Horton | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Kendrick | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Landry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Parker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Washington | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter