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2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (24.4 off)
Pythagorean 83.5% 16.5% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Log Adjusted 96.4% 3.6% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -19 (47-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gibson * 40 13-16 9-12 2-2 5 3 3 0 1 37 31 -
P.J. Tucker * 40 1-8 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 2 2 3 -
B. Buckman * 36 3-6 1-3 3-4 4 1 2 0 2 10 9 -
K. Paulino * 30 2-6 2-6 2-3 4 5 1 1 4 8 9 -
L. Aldridge * 27 1-5 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
A.J. Abrams 16 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
M. Williams 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Diene * 31 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 3 2 5 10 -
C. Jerrells * 29 2-7 0-2 2-2 5 6 1 0 3 6 8 -
A. Bruce * 27 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 2 -2 -
T. Bush * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Swanson * 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
H. Dugat 29 2-8 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 6 -1 -
K. Rogers 29 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 8 8 -
P. Fields 27 5-7 5-6 5-7 2 0 1 0 2 20 14 -
M. Shepherd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter