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2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Margin 17.1% 82.9% +8.7 โœ“ (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +28 (80-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon * 32 2-13 0-5 1-2 6 4 5 0 9 5 -2 -
C. Rhodes * 28 6-10 0-0 7-9 6 1 2 2 3 19 17 -
J. Edmondson * 26 1-5 0-1 2-3 1 1 1 0 3 4 -1 -
W. Morgan * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 4 3 -
D. Slater * 23 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
R. Delk 20 2-4 1-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
V. Goodridge 15 2-2 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 0 0 6 10 -
R. Delk 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
P. Stelmach 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
M. Boler 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Rimmer 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Terrell * 31 1-4 0-0 0-0 9 8 2 3 3 2 17 -
S. Foster * 30 3-6 2-3 5-6 2 4 0 0 1 13 12 -
D. Byars * 28 5-8 2-4 1-1 2 2 2 1 2 13 10 -
M. Moore * 23 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 5 10 7 -
T. Skuchas * 18 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 2 9 8 -
D. Cage 21 4-8 3-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 11 5 -
D. Carroll 18 8-11 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 18 11 -
A. Gordon 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 4 2 1 1 2 5 -
D. Nwankwo 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 0 1 -
A. Metcalfe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
A. Hammond 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter