Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burtschi | 39 | 11-18 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| A. Hood | 38 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. McCraw | 37 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 28 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Anderson | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Frye | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - |
| K. Maren | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Henke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Chiotti | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Walters | 35 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| T. Danridge | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| R. Kersten | 31 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Prochaska | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| K. Collins | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Harden | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hart | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Prentice | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Faris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter