Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +30 (85-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Haluska * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Horner * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Henderson * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Freeman | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Thompson | 19 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Reed | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Thomas | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Gorney | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Wieck | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Wessels | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ager * | 31 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| S. Brown * | 31 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| P. Davis * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| M. Trannon * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T. Walton | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| G. Suton | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Gray | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Rowley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Joseph | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hamo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Ducre | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Darnton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Tibaldi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Aerts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hannon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter