Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mercer | 37 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Ingram | 36 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Eitutavicius | 27 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Nichols | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| L. Lekavicius | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Billbe | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Harris | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Lay | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| G. Carr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hamilton | 40 | 7-20 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| K. Simmons | 37 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| T. Clifford | 33 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| T. Thomas | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Vander Baan | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Dixon | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Hyland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter