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2006-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 79.6% 20.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -
Log Adjusted 14.8% 85.2% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davidson * 39 5-16 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 3 10 2 -
R. Steele * 39 3-11 1-3 2-2 5 3 1 0 5 9 2 -
R. Hendrix * 34 5-10 0-0 6-6 9 1 0 1 2 16 15 -
B. Hollinger * 32 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 2 7 -
E. Brock * 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
J. Felix 20 5-10 4-7 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 14 6 -
A. Gee 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 2 -1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell * 40 6-12 4-8 3-5 7 4 3 0 4 19 17 -
T. Mitchell * 36 5-10 3-5 1-1 5 4 1 0 1 14 13 -
G. Temple * 35 4-9 0-3 0-0 2 3 4 2 1 8 9 -
G. Davis * 34 7-16 0-2 3-3 6 1 1 3 3 17 9 -
T. Thomas * 26 4-11 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 4 3 10 13 -
D. Lazare 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Voogd 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Rolle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter